0xc8661d10ab683bFc5a18421cc9FBfCcDDC74A478-1767535573687
0xc8661d10ab683bfc5a18421cc9fbfccddc74a478
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $29.8k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.038Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$1.1kat 0.152Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$225.53at 0.470Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$191.77at 0.510Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?
- +$129.19at 0.436Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 10:03 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1579999994 | $200.00 |
| 07-25 10:03 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1449999995 | $200.00 |
| 07-22 21:17 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.0936880643 | $200.00 |
| 03-11 21:16 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 03-04 15:46 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1519999994 | $200.00 |
| 03-04 12:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999993 | $200.00 |
| 03-02 22:18 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 03-02 22:04 | Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.0599526872 | $99.94 |
| 02-28 14:02 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1735389679 | $200.00 |
| 02-26 09:13 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.1288839502 | $150.00 |
| 02-23 20:22 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0765015935 | $200.00 |
| 02-23 20:18 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.3699999988 | $150.00 |
| 02-19 22:36 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 02-18 20:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2221812137 | $147.76 |
| 02-18 20:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4297647219 | $97.00 |