PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc8661d10ab683bFc5a18421cc9FBfCcDDC74A478-1767535573687

0xc8661d10ab683bfc5a18421cc9fbfccddc74a478

Realised P&L
$3.3k
Volume
$29.8k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0760.098$256.20+$56.21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1450.162$222.76+$22.76
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1580.153$193.67−$6.33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1730.123$142.33−$57.67
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.0940.055$117.41−$82.59
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1290.045$52.37−$97.63
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.040$43.89−$156.11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1200.029$23.75−$76.25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3800.045$23.68−$176.32
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$150.00
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$99.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 10:03Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1579999994$200.00
07-25 10:03Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1449999995$200.00
07-22 21:17OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?BUY0.0936880643$200.00
03-11 21:16Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.1399999989$100.00
03-04 15:46Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1519999994$200.00
03-04 12:23Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999993$200.00
03-02 22:18Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?BUY0.2$100.00
03-02 22:04Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?BUY0.0599526872$99.94
02-28 14:02Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1735389679$200.00
02-26 09:13Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.1288839502$150.00
02-23 20:22Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0765015935$200.00
02-23 20:18Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.3699999988$150.00
02-19 22:36Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.119999999$100.00
02-18 20:41Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.2221812137$147.76
02-18 20:35Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETBUY0.4297647219$97.00