0xc85670ee35945077bd0488a2385ed0e1450658f0
0xc85670ee35945077bd0488a2385ed0e1450658f0
- Realised P&L
- $8.45
- Volume
- $178.06
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $2.68
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.925 | $1.68 | +$0.68 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.490 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.055 | $0.19 | −$1.07 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5? · Down | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.74at 0.210Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$4.18at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.74at 0.258Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.52at 0.339Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.21at 0.369WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 12:21 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:30 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 02:15 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:38 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:22 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:04 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 1? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 06:20 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:26 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 05:48 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 21:31 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:01 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:53 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:52 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:56 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 17:39 | Will BlackBerry say "Tailwind" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.26 |