PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc84cdba2b9e702a33492c5f15bbd3dbe93fa2092

Realised P&L
$-89.01
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$17.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 08:01Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?SELL0.96$19.20
07-18 11:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.5$20.00
07-18 11:22Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.17$95.83
07-04 20:12Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0609999939$9.95
06-30 18:47Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.04$1.67
06-28 20:24Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.1497406639$28.87
06-24 08:15US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.25$34.82
06-24 08:15US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.25$24.87
06-23 14:44Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5699999927$24.87
06-22 19:10Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4$6.00
06-22 15:48Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.1499999966$34.82
06-22 15:48Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.15$24.87
06-22 15:47Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.15$24.87
06-18 17:59Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.33$3.30
06-18 17:56Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.33$3.30