0xc84c1756fbb30f9dce17db2e2c703e3d6aa9d267
0xc84c1756fbb30f9dce17db2e2c703e3d6aa9d267
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $51.6k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $6.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.135 | $3.97 | −$1.03 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.075 | $2.47 | −$2.53 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$190.46 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.86 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Up | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Up | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.57at 0.387Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$13.92at 0.758Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?
- +$1.97at 0.342Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$1.14at 0.466Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$1.07at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 23:22 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.017 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 23:21 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0162105464 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 23:02 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 23:00 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.015920398 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 23:00 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0150067483 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 23:00 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0122279072 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 22:30 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0172325748 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 22:30 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.015 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 22:30 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0155945419 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 22:30 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0129142904 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 20:25 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.027 | $97.99 |
| 09-20 20:23 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.027 | $18.00 |
| 09-20 20:22 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0264705882 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 20:21 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0279999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 20:14 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.023 | $50.00 |