0xc84c1756fbb30f9dce17db2e2c703e3d6aa9d267
- Realised P&L
- $-116.48
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.201 | $963.92 | −$99.08 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.024 | $115.17 | −$50.32 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.159 | $5.20 | +$0.20 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.120 | $3.53 | −$1.47 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.003 | $1.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.47 | −$1.39 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Up | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Up | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.57at 0.387Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$13.92at 0.758Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?
- +$1.97at 0.342Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$1.14at 0.466Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$1.07at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 19:11 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0345137638 | $155.60 |
| 09-15 18:51 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $3.60 |
| 09-15 18:49 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2233024083 | $980.00 |
| 08-31 18:13 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0029999985 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 18:11 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.86 |
| 08-31 13:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | SELL | 0.17 | $0.19 |
| 08-31 13:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 13:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $1.41 |
| 08-31 13:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 13:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 12:34 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1528446847 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 12:34 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 23:32 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.046999993 | $6.29 |
| 08-30 22:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.02 |
| 08-30 22:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |