PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SeaGhost

0xc84b94f4f77c85605925ebe1098d552b7aba38bc

Realised P&L
$-56.41
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$107.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration81.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0370.048$32.09+$7.09
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0790.097$30.54+$5.54
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.125$22.32$2.68
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.245$18.15$1.85
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.245$2.66+$0.92
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0570.024$1.43$2.05
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? · Yes0.2290.001$0.05$21.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$1.00
US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Marie Bouzkova · Marie Bouzkova0.1400.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Up0.1700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$19.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 14:54Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.4599999981$19.46
09-10 14:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.269999993$5.00
09-10 14:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.6930692973$15.00
09-08 20:10Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$1.74
09-07 22:43Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1399999997$25.00
09-07 22:37Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0789999998$25.00
09-07 22:21Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.037$25.00
09-07 22:03Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?BUY0.2291297469$21.10
09-07 21:06Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0569999996$3.48
09-07 20:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.5699999886$2.00
09-07 20:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.5$1.00
09-05 19:32US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Marie BouzkovaBUY0.1399999922$15.00
09-05 19:14Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2699999904$20.00
09-05 19:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.1699999871$10.00