bm87
0xc84725a2f682e15441648f1cc673c0abc00133f6
- Realised P&L
- $-661.69
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $55.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.19at 0.419Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 26?
- +$19.79at 0.470Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 18?
- +$12.02at 0.649Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 22?
- +$9.59at 0.550Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 11?
- +$9.13at 0.615Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.37 | $2.81 |
| 09-22 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.2998731343 | $4.02 |
| 09-22 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.22 | $9.46 |
| 09-16 20:05 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $10.57 |
| 08-29 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 30? | SELL | 0.37 | $11.74 |
| 08-29 15:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 30? | SELL | 0.1869275587 | $28.87 |
| 08-29 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 30? | SELL | 0.2482748698 | $18.12 |
| 08-29 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 30? | SELL | 0.31 | $32.63 |
| 08-29 15:05 | Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $22.69 |
| 08-27 06:14 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.1568216271 | $12.41 |
| 08-27 06:10 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $13.69 |