PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

bm87

0xc84725a2f682e15441648f1cc673c0abc00133f6

Realised P&L
$-661.69
Volume
$15.6k
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$55.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 14? · Yes0.4100.430$11.89+$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 14? · Yes0.3800.395$7.67+$0.29
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 13? · Yes0.5110.280$7.44−$6.15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14? · No0.5300.425$6.84−$1.69
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 14? · Yes0.4500.420$3.75−$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 12? · No0.5601.000$2.36+$1.04
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 14? · Yes0.4300.145$2.36−$4.63
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 13? · Yes0.4800.525$2.14+$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 13? · No0.5500.605$2.02+$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 12? · Yes0.5000.075$1.74−$9.86
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 13? · No0.4100.445$1.44+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 14? · Yes0.5000.555$1.34+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 13? · No0.4600.635$1.18+$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14? · Yes0.4060.470$1.08+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 13? · Yes0.4400.395$0.78−$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 06:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 22?SELL0.37$2.81
09-22 06:06Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 22?SELL0.2998731343$4.02
09-22 06:05Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 22?SELL0.22$9.46
09-16 20:05Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.26$10.57
08-29 15:07Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 30?SELL0.37$11.74
08-29 15:06Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 30?SELL0.1869275587$28.87
08-29 15:06Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 30?SELL0.2482748698$18.12
08-29 15:06Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 30?SELL0.31$32.63
08-29 15:05Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?SELL0.35$22.69
08-27 06:14Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?SELL0.1568216271$12.41
08-27 06:10Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?SELL0.38$13.69