KUNGFANG
0xc8383dec11ec4ec425c883123d9110f758ad8326
- Realised P&L
- $-476.23
- Volume
- $112.5k
- Markets traded
- 354
- Open portfolio
- $716.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded354
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · No | 0.887 | 0.882 | $353.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.961 | 0.960 | $191.90 | −$0.30 |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.875 | $171.67 | +$2.94 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.743Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 20?
- +$404.26at 0.745Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on April 20?
- +$208.59at 0.860Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?
- +$139.42at 0.741Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 11?
- +$134.44at 0.768Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:33 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | SELL | 0.87 | $229.36 |
| 05-07 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $6.79 |
| 05-07 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $192.37 |
| 05-07 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $399.60 |
| 05-06 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.24 |
| 05-06 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on May 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $186.80 |
| 05-04 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on May 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 05-02 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $296.71 |
| 05-01 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on May 1? | BUY | 0.984 | $118.10 |
| 05-01 04:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 05-01 04:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 04-30 04:17 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on April 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 04-30 04:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on April 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 04-30 04:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on April 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 04-30 04:15 | Will Solana dip to $65 on April 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $25.58 |