PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

n4k

0xc82a0639e4c587bed10f5f0f31f5a2bd96236d00

Realised P&L
$-75.72
Volume
$42.9k
Markets traded
996
Open portfolio
$76.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded996
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
James Madison vs. Old Dominion · James Madison0.6900.945$6.85+$1.85
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5900.625$5.29+$0.30
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6700.705$5.26+$0.26
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7100.745$5.24+$0.25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6100.625$5.12+$0.12
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · No0.8350.835$5.00−$0.00
Appalachian State vs. NC State · NC State0.8300.825$4.97−$0.03
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? · Yes0.6210.617$4.96−$0.04
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Wildcard (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Playoffs · DENDELE CS0.6800.675$4.96−$0.04
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No0.7000.650$4.64−$0.36
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6900.635$4.60−$0.40
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7100.645$4.54−$0.46
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.6400.573$4.47−$0.53
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? · Yes0.6300.535$4.25−$0.75
East Texas A&M vs. McNeese · McNeese0.5400.675$3.75+$0.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 21:35James Madison vs. Old DominionBUY0.69$5.00
09-26 21:26Appalachian State vs. NC StateBUY0.83$5.00
09-26 20:26Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Wildcard (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML PlayoffsBUY0.68$5.00
09-26 17:26Northern Illinois vs. Georgia StateBUY0.77$5.00
09-26 14:16Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.621$5.00
09-26 12:55Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II PlayoffsBUY0.8$5.00
09-26 12:35Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO3) - iBUYPOWER Masters FML Group BBUY0.75$4.50
09-26 10:35Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 PlayoffsBUY0.67$5.00
09-26 09:16Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.69$5.00
09-26 09:16Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.7$5.00
09-26 00:50US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.52$3.82
09-26 00:14Presbyterian vs. MaristBUY0.74$5.00
09-25 23:12W15 Belem: Luna Maria Cinalli vs Paola LopezSELL0.28$2.98
09-25 22:24W15 Belem: Luna Maria Cinalli vs Paola LopezBUY0.47$5.00
09-25 20:24Italy vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.32$1.52