PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0xc8129d4daa066cfb598da82ea2f398f7d8ef277d

Realised P&L
$-2.01
Volume
$98.60
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$13.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.5001.000$4.00+$2.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2100.290$2.76+$0.76
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7900.915$2.32+$0.32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.2300.125$1.09$0.91
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4500.275$0.98$0.63
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · No0.5600.275$0.98$1.02
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3000.114$0.76$1.24
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.4500.130$0.44$1.09
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$1.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 08:30US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-04 00:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.229999916$2.00
08-03 16:30Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.5$2.00
08-03 08:28Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.299999925$2.00
08-03 00:23US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4499999441$1.61
08-02 16:22Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.5599999664$2.00
08-02 03:54Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3599998314$1.11
07-31 19:48Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.00
07-31 11:47New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-30 23:56Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-29 11:35Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999935$1.99
07-29 03:05Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-28 12:45Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.45$1.53
07-27 15:57Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?BUY0.47$1.41
07-27 03:11Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 27 2026?BUY0.7099999964$1.98