PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

consulting

0xc7d5b3deae29e3b9b86d4b5bec00d3aaff6479cc

Realised P&L
$514.34
Volume
$129.9k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$5.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.5000.841$1.7k+$681.00
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.635$1.1k+$243.00
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.365$657.00$243.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.6620.935$565.27+$165.27
Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9600.999$450.46+$17.31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.160$319.00$681.00
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? · Yes0.5000.580$290.00+$40.00
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No0.9070.967$283.91+$17.72
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? · No0.5000.420$210.00$40.00
EU dissolves before 2027? · No0.9620.986$176.99+$4.29
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0280.025$43.75$6.25
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.8500.035$11.74$277.43
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2025? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$5.69
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No0.4800.000$0.00$100.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.5700.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-09 08:14Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0279999995$50.00
02-09 08:12Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9299999991$500.00
02-09 08:12Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?BUY0.9695406764$1000.00
02-09 08:12Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9299999992$1000.00
02-09 08:11Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.5699999991$200.00
02-09 08:10Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7659025742$500.00
02-09 08:10Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.93$500.00
02-09 08:07Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.7699999975$200.00
02-09 08:06NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?BUY0.96959898$1000.00
02-09 08:05Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9190872177$600.00
02-09 08:04Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?BUY0.9768553794$500.00
02-09 08:03Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.8776889744$34.23
12-12 11:06Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.937$22.56
12-12 09:53Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?BUY0.3188467332$20.00
12-12 09:51Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 19?BUY0.2201782038$12.00