consulting
0xc7d5b3deae29e3b9b86d4b5bec00d3aaff6479cc
- Realised P&L
- $514.34
- Volume
- $129.9k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $5.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.856Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$560.22at 0.078Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$150.87at 0.896Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
- +$116.89at 0.339Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?
- +$112.90at 0.930Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-09 08:14 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0279999995 | $50.00 |
| 02-09 08:12 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999991 | $500.00 |
| 02-09 08:12 | Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9695406764 | $1000.00 |
| 02-09 08:12 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999992 | $1000.00 |
| 02-09 08:11 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $200.00 |
| 02-09 08:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7659025742 | $500.00 |
| 02-09 08:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $500.00 |
| 02-09 08:07 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999975 | $200.00 |
| 02-09 08:06 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96959898 | $1000.00 |
| 02-09 08:05 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9190872177 | $600.00 |
| 02-09 08:04 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9768553794 | $500.00 |
| 02-09 08:03 | Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.8776889744 | $34.23 |
| 12-12 11:06 | Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.937 | $22.56 |
| 12-12 09:53 | Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31? | BUY | 0.3188467332 | $20.00 |
| 12-12 09:51 | Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 19? | BUY | 0.2201782038 | $12.00 |