PolyBot

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Traders

MelissaCraig1098

0xc7c2e819892c77a9a19ebf8a2f9efd17ae1bfcbe

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$147.4k
Markets traded
194
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded194
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026? · Yes0.8071.000$886.00+$171.00
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Under0.8201.000$420.00+$75.60
Will Robert White Jr. win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? · No0.9701.000$193.00+$5.79
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7410.175$144.79$466.54
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · No0.7501.000$74.00+$18.50
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026? · No0.6401.000$51.00+$18.36
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · Yes0.4400.265$6.63$4.38
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.4400.870$1.74+$0.86
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.3450.764$1.53+$0.84
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No0.6980.935$0.94+$0.24
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · Yes0.6000.001$0.00$1.50
Will Cramer say "Bitcoin" 4+ times during TBPN on December 4? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$2.76
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$1.14
Trump executive order ending NASA in 2025? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$0.09
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$2.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 07:50Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.62$600.78
04-12 20:30Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.27$188.73
04-11 09:53Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?SELL0.997$127.62
04-11 09:52Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?SELL0.997$654.03
04-11 09:18Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?SELL0.15$3.45
04-10 22:09Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$162.69
04-09 13:22Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?SELL0.91$619.71
04-09 13:19Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?SELL0.91$91.00
04-08 21:28Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$34.50
04-08 19:35Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?BUY0.64$1.0k
04-08 18:28Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$620.16
03-30 13:39Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?SELL0.77$330.33
03-30 13:29Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.78$705.90
03-30 05:20Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?BUY0.78$334.62
03-30 01:24Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.77$696.85