PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc7bf63e70626f4fd936f76370a04541f3a11cbef

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$48.3k
Markets traded
117
Open portfolio
$9.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded117
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
USD1 depeg by December 31? · Yes0.2870.055$4.10$17.29
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? · Yes0.0680.011$3.40$16.60
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0480.007$0.77$4.23
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0070.001$0.66$9.34
Negative GDP growth in 2026? · Yes0.1660.021$0.43$3.07
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0230.001$0.22$9.78
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0350.003$0.19$2.51
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0060.001$0.08$0.92
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0080.001$0.06$0.94
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0430.001$0.06$4.94
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3310.000$0.00$30.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.3900.000$0.00$127.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.6240.000$0.00$190.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$27.70
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? · Yes0.3230.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 19:12Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3309999929$30.00
07-07 19:12USD1 depeg by December 31?SELL0.06$1.80
07-07 19:10AI bubble burst in 2026?SELL0.1522894157$32.50
06-20 15:47Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.04$27.70
06-20 15:46Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.372$30.21
05-20 07:51Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.3229999924$20.00
05-13 09:10Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.86$18.85
05-13 08:59Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.15$14.93
05-04 20:56US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3899999989$127.00
05-04 20:55US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.6699999993$100.00
05-04 20:51US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.86$236.25
04-30 16:33Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.2099999932$20.90
04-30 16:32Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?SELL0.69$20.13
04-29 10:44Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.035$2.70
04-24 10:21US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5799999976$90.00