0xc7bf63e70626f4fd936f76370a04541f3a11cbef
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $48.3k
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $9.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.508Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
- +$272.10at 0.545Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$136.25at 0.364US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$68.08at 0.370Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
- +$63.71at 0.436Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 19:12 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3309999929 | $30.00 |
| 07-07 19:12 | USD1 depeg by December 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 07-07 19:10 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | SELL | 0.1522894157 | $32.50 |
| 06-20 15:47 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.04 | $27.70 |
| 06-20 15:46 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.372 | $30.21 |
| 05-20 07:51 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3229999924 | $20.00 |
| 05-13 09:10 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.86 | $18.85 |
| 05-13 08:59 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $14.93 |
| 05-04 20:56 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999989 | $127.00 |
| 05-04 20:55 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 05-04 20:51 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $236.25 |
| 04-30 16:33 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999932 | $20.90 |
| 04-30 16:32 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? | SELL | 0.69 | $20.13 |
| 04-29 10:44 | Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.035 | $2.70 |
| 04-24 10:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999976 | $90.00 |