0xC79DE00088D697b6CAFc4A5542c13954ea850203-1724810236542
0xc79de00088d697b6cafc4a5542c13954ea850203
- Realised P&L
- $14.8k
- Volume
- $118.2k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $20.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.5kat 0.519Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
- +$2.6kat 0.275Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$2.4kat 0.1702024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
- +$2.4kat 0.346Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025?
- +$1.9kat 0.350Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 13:55 | Blue tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.5999999988 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 13:51 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.32 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 13:50 | Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.1699999995 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 13:49 | Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.1794365692 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 13:48 | Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.1899999991 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 13:47 | Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.1579999991 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 13:46 | Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat? | BUY | 0.1675206927 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 13:45 | Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat? | BUY | 0.2250873339 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 13:42 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.2399999992 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 13:41 | Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.1639999993 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 13:38 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 10-28 13:37 | Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.4428044228 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 12:59 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.4599999923 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 12:56 | Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.4499999964 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 12:53 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat? | BUY | 0.1296887469 | $25.00 |