CarolusQuintus
0xc78724238ce80cb68165282e544b311b57ba4c6b
- Realised P&L
- $-188.92
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $51.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.785 | $46.64 | +$5.64 |
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.720 | $5.29 | +$0.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.51at 0.430Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-4.14at 0.688Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-34.36at 0.383Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-34.68at 0.646Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-122.25at 0.760Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 20:53 | EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? | BUY | 0.6799999238 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 13:53 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.47 | $76.51 |
| 10-27 23:41 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $35.00 |
| 10-27 23:38 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $35.00 |
| 10-27 23:35 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.4325844356 | $70.32 |
| 10-27 20:33 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999983 | $41.00 |
| 10-27 20:20 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.19 | $40.75 |
| 10-27 16:06 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7599999986 | $63.00 |
| 10-27 16:06 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7599999964 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 13:52 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6719999946 | $4.00 |
| 10-27 13:49 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6739999963 | $30.00 |
| 10-27 13:49 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6739999933 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 21:40 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5539999881 | $21.00 |
| 10-25 23:35 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.054 | $5.64 |
| 10-25 22:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.383282303 | $40.00 |