PolyBot

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Traders

CarolusQuintus

0xc78724238ce80cb68165282e544b311b57ba4c6b

Realised P&L
$-188.92
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$51.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6900.785$46.64+$5.64
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? · Yes0.6800.720$5.29+$0.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 20:53EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?BUY0.6799999238$5.00
10-28 13:53Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.47$76.51
10-27 23:41Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4299999991$35.00
10-27 23:38Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4299999991$35.00
10-27 23:35Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.4325844356$70.32
10-27 20:33Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6899999983$41.00
10-27 20:20Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.19$40.75
10-27 16:06Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.7599999986$63.00
10-27 16:06Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.7599999964$100.00
10-27 13:52Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.6719999946$4.00
10-27 13:49Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.6739999963$30.00
10-27 13:49Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.6739999933$50.00
10-26 21:40Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5539999881$21.00
10-25 23:35Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.054$5.64
10-25 22:49Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.383282303$40.00