0xc77395f54ba2baad9d93d5ab53406daf1a1a2023
0xc77395f54ba2baad9d93d5ab53406daf1a1a2023
- Realised P&L
- $16.05
- Volume
- $350.32
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $18.21
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.325 | $3.10 | +$1.10 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.630 | 0.995 | $2.84 | +$1.04 |
| Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day? · No | 0.720 | 0.998 | $2.77 | +$0.77 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.710 | $2.22 | +$0.22 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.885 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.805 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.959 | $1.56 | +$0.44 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.160 | $0.76 | −$1.24 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.125 | $0.74 | −$1.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$6.66at 0.238Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 02:18 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 18:17 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 10:14 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 02:14 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 06:10 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999568 | $1.15 |
| 09-21 06:10 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 22:09 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999815 | $1.12 |
| 09-20 11:31 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 22:56 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 10:35 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 02:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 17:38 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 08:07 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 21:49 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 13:01 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.73 |