PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DingDongChicken

0xc771d5d878f267ab9c29edcddcc7f4bd50aa6f90

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$100.4k
Markets traded
1,484
Open portfolio
$426.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,484
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.8170.675$332.64−$70.17
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1170.085$42.84−$15.96
Kimi K4 released by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.1010.086$26.38−$4.50
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0140.012$11.32−$1.74
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.3900.385$9.87−$0.13
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.115$3.19−$1.81
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Yes0.1200.075$0.63−$0.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 00:04Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?SELL0.075$2.33
10-08 16:43Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.7399999734$5.00
10-08 16:43Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.23$6.05
10-05 11:23Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.71$4.97
10-04 12:43Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.7299999974$40.00
10-04 12:43Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.072$42.98
10-04 12:41Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.7299999942$30.00
10-04 12:41Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?SELL0.42$34.61
10-03 14:17Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.8$10.00
10-03 10:54Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.8199999967$5.00
10-03 09:14Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.8199999967$20.00
10-03 09:12Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?SELL0.47$36.19
10-03 08:55Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.8199999836$3.00
10-03 08:55Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.8199999967$5.00
10-02 08:05Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.8499999915$10.00