Yellowbarvaz
0xc76e6d206279879f45f611122f38378415902ce4
- Realised P&L
- $-173.36
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 210
- Open portfolio
- $118.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded210
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.46at 0.343Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$55.73at 0.151Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
- +$51.11at 0.163Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$33.38at 0.307Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$32.75at 0.311Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 20:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 20:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.35 | $19.02 |
| 09-23 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 14:27 | Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 14:27 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 14:27 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 14:26 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 14:25 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 14:25 | Will Poland win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 14:25 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 14:25 | Will Latvia win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 14:24 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 14:22 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 14:21 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 11:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |