0xc75ebac98a84a1cf2a66196682bad33b0d0cc91f
0xc75ebac98a84a1cf2a66196682bad33b0d0cc91f
- Realised P&L
- $-99.36
- Volume
- $550.58
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $7.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.040 | $3.95 | −$26.05 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.368 | 0.035 | $3.26 | −$31.00 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.452 | 0.009 | $0.17 | −$8.83 |
| Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.00at 0.210Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$-10.36at 0.226Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$-15.00at 0.209Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
- +$-20.00at 0.262Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 02:52 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3849999871 | $13.26 |
| 09-04 02:52 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3574722922 | $21.00 |
| 06-13 00:55 | Will the announcers say "Trump" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.218143584 | $10.00 |
| 03-23 12:15 | Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4519999821 | $9.00 |
| 03-23 12:12 | Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2617683189 | $20.00 |
| 03-16 08:22 | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting? | BUY | 0.2086059326 | $15.00 |
| 02-02 07:41 | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 01-25 11:16 | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting? | BUY | 0.4499999969 | $22.00 |
| 01-25 02:49 | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting? | BUY | 0.429999991 | $12.00 |
| 01-24 09:38 | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting? | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 01-23 09:32 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 01-22 10:17 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |