7seer
0xc74d081495eca17a14ec9d05e7bd4f80714caa1b
- Realised P&L
- $0.58
- Volume
- $27.0k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $139.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.985 | 0.997 | $60.79 | +$0.70 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $32.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $29.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.992 | 1.000 | $17.13 | +$0.13 |
| Raptors vs. Nets · Raptors | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.32at 0.749Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$20.52at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$15.04at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
- +$1.76at 0.850Warriors vs. Nuggets
- +$1.26at 0.704Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 08:30 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.00 |
| 08-26 09:07 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.00 |
| 08-26 09:07 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-30 13:13 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.00 |
| 07-30 13:04 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.00 |
| 07-30 13:03 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 07-30 13:03 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 06-15 12:39 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $36.00 |
| 06-15 12:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9959999641 | $20.00 |
| 06-15 12:35 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.8929999942 | $10.00 |
| 05-21 08:52 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 05-21 08:51 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.9839999625 | $25.00 |
| 04-17 13:31 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999941 | $66.26 |
| 04-17 13:31 | Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 04-17 13:31 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |