PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

7seer

0xc74d081495eca17a14ec9d05e7bd4f80714caa1b

Realised P&L
$0.58
Volume
$27.0k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$139.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample48 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9850.997$60.79+$0.70
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No0.9990.999$32.98$0.02
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · No0.9981.000$29.04+$0.04
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9921.000$17.13+$0.13
Raptors vs. Nets · Raptors0.6000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 08:30Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.999$33.00
08-26 09:07Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.998$29.00
08-26 09:07Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.999$19.98
07-30 13:13Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.999$27.00
07-30 13:04Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.998$11.00
07-30 13:03Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.999$11.00
07-30 13:03Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.999$13.00
06-15 12:39Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY0.996$36.00
06-15 12:35Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?BUY0.9959999641$20.00
06-15 12:35Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.8929999942$10.00
05-21 08:52Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.998$20.00
05-21 08:51Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.9839999625$25.00
04-17 13:31Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?BUY0.9979999941$66.26
04-17 13:31Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?BUY0.999$30.00
04-17 13:31Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.999$11.00