PolyBot

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Traders

GoenkaG

0xc74594167cfbfe90deb033f10a09a54db7cd5d3a

Realised P&L
$-207.57
Volume
$11.8k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$144.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1750.080$115.20$137.60
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0310.057$18.81+$8.58
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes0.3500.101$10.10$24.90
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? · No0.3500.000$0.00$20.00
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$176.00
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 17:49Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.44$176.00
07-24 17:42Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.031$0.12
05-22 22:08Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?BUY0.3499999895$20.00
05-16 21:11Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0077612635$5.00
05-16 20:16Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0649999943$10.00
05-16 20:12Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0739704076$15.00
05-16 19:12Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.5399999935$25.00
05-07 06:22Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.2099999984$100.00
05-06 21:31Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.2067036948$100.00
04-09 09:45Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.319$38.28
04-09 09:35Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.292$7.59
03-24 20:18Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.45$90.00
01-14 20:46Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL0.53$34.00
01-01 16:19Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.1899999896$12.19
06-30 17:43Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?BUY0.0162835091$1.00