goffree
0xc73e2d95fcdf289b6016c0bbbf4e30c495cd2a79
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $841.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,553
- Open portfolio
- $979.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,553
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.103Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 10?
- +$2.9kat 0.472Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 2?
- +$2.7kat 0.214Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 8?
- +$2.5kat 0.099Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 1?
- +$2.3kat 0.999Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 01:42 | Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | BUY | 0.995 | $49.75 |
| 08-09 13:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $118.03 |
| 07-24 09:54 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster? | BUY | 0.989 | $86.25 |
| 07-18 04:12 | Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 07-18 04:12 | Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.11 |
| 07-17 15:28 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster? | BUY | 0.989 | $49.45 |
| 07-17 04:44 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19? | BUY | 0.991 | $34.69 |
| 07-17 03:30 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19? | BUY | 0.992 | $19.84 |
| 07-07 18:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-07 18:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 07-04 16:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $126.31 |
| 07-04 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 07-04 14:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 07-04 14:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 4? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 07-04 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.96 |