PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc7038da2a78e55a5434c0197482d7341f12012ef

Realised P&L
$-5.09
Volume
$112.67
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$13.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.4400.905$10.28+$5.28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7700.949$2.40+$0.45
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.75 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.5300.540$1.02+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 23:39Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.75 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-10 10:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
08-03 02:31Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4399999648$5.00
08-02 17:18Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4780438709$5.00
08-02 05:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.449999955$5.00
07-31 20:48New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$5.00
07-31 12:48New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-29 19:33Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999958$4.98
07-29 01:55Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.38$2.66
07-28 16:39Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?BUY0.49$4.41
07-28 00:22Will Procter & Gamble say "Customer" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.23$1.38
07-27 15:18Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?BUY0.5799998886$1.77
07-27 01:44Will Trump say "Hottest" during Michigan remarks?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
07-26 13:43Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7199999934$4.38
07-26 01:42Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.6899999908$3.01