PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc6e1926FDb49F824E62E24f5434da966bA3e3b95-1724106061724

0xc6e1926fdb49f824e62e24f5434da966ba3e3b95

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$383.0k
Markets traded
449
Open portfolio
$13.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded449
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8700.830$6.6k−$319.71
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7860.875$2.2k+$222.50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.9500.993$992.50+$42.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.835$835.00−$25.00
Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7920.875$822.51+$77.81
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.7900.795$397.50+$2.50
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2660.902$361.14+$254.64
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes0.5500.515$257.49−$17.50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6400.407$203.50−$116.34
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? · No0.7500.730$146.00−$4.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.3480.255$127.50−$46.50
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5390.046$4.65−$49.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 02:46Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.84$420.00
10-31 23:27UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY0.84$84.00
10-27 17:53US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.55$274.99
10-27 16:24US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.95$950.00
10-26 21:03NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$840.00
10-26 21:02Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?SELL0.9360011365$1.6k
10-24 22:22Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?BUY0.75$150.00
10-24 22:11US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.82$820.00
10-24 20:03UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.529999998$50.00
10-24 17:11UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.8199999998$165.49
10-24 16:21UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)BUY0.6199999975$50.00
10-24 15:44UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.84$84.00
10-24 14:58UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.64$30.00
10-24 14:12UFC 333: Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.8786888006$88.00
10-23 12:03Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?SELL0.8031537401$401.89