0xc6e1926FDb49F824E62E24f5434da966bA3e3b95-1724106061724
0xc6e1926fdb49f824e62e24f5434da966ba3e3b95
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $383.0k
- Markets traded
- 449
- Open portfolio
- $13.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded449
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$763.41at 0.746Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$608.45at 0.863Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
- +$554.92at 0.945Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$533.62at 0.746US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
- +$532.57at 0.662Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 02:46 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $420.00 |
| 10-31 23:27 | UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 10-27 17:53 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.55 | $274.99 |
| 10-27 16:24 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $950.00 |
| 10-26 21:03 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $840.00 |
| 10-26 21:02 | Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.9360011365 | $1.6k |
| 10-24 22:22 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $150.00 |
| 10-24 22:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $820.00 |
| 10-24 20:03 | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.529999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-24 17:11 | UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.8199999998 | $165.49 |
| 10-24 16:21 | UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |
| 10-24 15:44 | UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 10-24 14:58 | UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.64 | $30.00 |
| 10-24 14:12 | UFC 333: Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.8786888006 | $88.00 |
| 10-23 12:03 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | SELL | 0.8031537401 | $401.89 |