0xc6e1926FDb49F824E62E24f5434da966bA3e3b95-1724106061724
0xc6e1926fdb49f824e62e24f5434da966ba3e3b95
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $349.0k
- Markets traded
- 410
- Open portfolio
- $13.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded410
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$763.41at 0.746Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$608.45at 0.863Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
- +$554.92at 0.945Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$533.62at 0.746US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
- +$532.57at 0.662Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 10:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.76 | $152.00 |
| 09-17 10:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.82 | $164.00 |
| 09-17 10:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.55 | $549.99 |
| 09-17 10:05 | Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.8469603233 | $23.05 |
| 09-17 09:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September? | SELL | 0.901 | $270.30 |
| 09-17 09:37 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.879982 | $176.00 |
| 09-17 09:35 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.825 | $238.42 |
| 09-17 09:33 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 09-17 09:32 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.923745956 | $174.17 |
| 09-16 22:30 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8484439188 | $68.16 |
| 09-16 22:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.896 | $358.40 |
| 09-16 22:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $2.0k |
| 09-16 18:16 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.4031955 | $80.64 |
| 09-16 08:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.84 | $252.00 |
| 09-15 17:11 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.8694631475 | $96.85 |