PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

WillBeQuant

0xc6beb58b302adbc88a64b34e8f991c283dffa0f3

Realised P&L
$26.8k
Volume
$1.71M
Markets traded
522
Open portfolio
$149.93

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded522
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.8400.735$64.89−$9.27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7700.805$40.25+$1.75
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9530.969$14.53+$0.24
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.9380.910$12.41−$0.38
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.7600.805$8.05+$0.45
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026? · No0.9660.980$4.90+$0.07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9610.968$4.84+$0.03
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5) · B80.2800.001$0.05−$28.34
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? · Yes0.7000.001$0.01−$13.98
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner · Lynn Vision0.1000.000$0.00−$50.00
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5) · G20.6500.000$0.00−$1.16
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage · ENCE0.4820.000$0.00−$299.02
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner · LOS0.6440.000$0.00−$529.79
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5) · 5star0.2620.000$0.00−$524.00
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner · MOUZ0.3310.000$0.00−$418.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 07:11China Open: Paula Badosa vs Daria KasatkinaBUY0.51$142.55
09-30 23:14Game Handicap: LOS (-2.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+2.5)BUY0.9886477195$58.09
09-30 23:10LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.9873685706$302.34
09-30 23:09LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.4759612278$5.89
09-30 23:01LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.95$9.50
09-30 22:57LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.48$61.44
09-30 22:57LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.48$62.67
09-30 22:55LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.96$294.76
09-30 22:54LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.91$175.02
09-30 22:54LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.9065425932$301.27
09-30 22:32LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.11$2.20
09-30 22:31LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.11$1.76
09-30 21:09Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.81$1.3k
09-30 21:08Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.81$4.6k
09-30 21:08Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesBUY0.82$3.9k