0xc69Ef95E36eB82d6f7C076b35d08e8D9166c85a9-1769367621456
0xc69ef95e36eb82d6f7c076b35d08e8d9166c85a9
- Realised P&L
- $-178.32
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $18.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.160 | $12.76 | −$7.24 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.070 | $5.61 | −$9.39 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes | 0.381 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.34at 0.353Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$5.48at 0.700Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
- +$5.28at 0.650Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$2.05at 0.830US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?
- +$1.91at 0.940Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 08:48 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.9269999969 | $10.00 |
| 05-19 15:27 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 05-19 15:22 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.702 | $39.81 |
| 04-13 08:58 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.1438848921 | $5.00 |
| 04-13 08:44 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.993 | $15.27 |
| 04-10 19:03 | Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 13:14 | Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | BUY | 0.820662764 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 09:14 | Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | BUY | 0.796077344 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 08:49 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 04-08 10:36 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 23:09 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 23:07 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.1110000124 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 22:42 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.76 |
| 04-07 13:43 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 11:12 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |