LucaSouls10
0xc69182295735788e6eef1c47fc609ea2773f3018
- Realised P&L
- $-2.63
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $187.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.50at 0.410Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.50at 0.210Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?
- +$0.50at 0.380Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- +$0.10at 0.150Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$0.05at 0.935Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 18:58 | Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.24 |
| 10-14 18:58 | Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | SELL | 0.131 | $2.23 |
| 10-14 18:55 | Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader? | SELL | 0.71 | $35.49 |
| 10-14 17:50 | Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2028? | SELL | 0.51 | $14.03 |
| 10-14 14:26 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $4.40 |
| 10-14 09:56 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.955 | $47.75 |
| 10-13 20:25 | Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $1.15 |
| 10-13 17:36 | Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028? | SELL | 0.697 | $6.97 |
| 10-12 19:03 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? | SELL | 0.936 | $46.80 |
| 10-12 12:07 | Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year? | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 10-10 17:21 | Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 10-10 14:41 | Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 10-09 22:23 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.76 | $19.00 |
| 10-09 22:22 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 6%-9%? | SELL | 0.815 | $11.83 |