0xc685093975103fda7af69aedd269efdef87e0e9f
0xc685093975103fda7af69aedd269efdef87e0e9f
- Realised P&L
- $-117.17
- Volume
- $22.7k
- Markets traded
- 350
- Open portfolio
- $59.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded350
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.364 | 0.484 | $33.10 | +$8.23 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%? · Yes | 0.397 | 0.374 | $18.84 | −$1.16 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.100 | $7.69 | −$2.31 |
| BNB Up or Down - October 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down | 0.511 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.99at 0.704Norway vs. Denmark: Denmark O/U 0.5
- +$81.31at 0.714Spread: Troy (-3.5)
- +$80.64at 0.394Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$68.84at 0.724LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs
- +$67.33at 0.652Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 22:23 | Spread: Liberty (-3.5) | BUY | 0.759999982 | $3.37 |
| 10-07 21:35 | BNB Up or Down - October 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5109029357 | $110.00 |
| 10-07 20:32 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $373.82 |
| 10-07 06:40 | Villena: Francesco Maestrelli vs Oliver Tarvet | BUY | 0.709999998 | $98.00 |
| 10-07 06:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.507510728 | $43.00 |
| 10-07 04:10 | Panthers vs. Kings | BUY | 0.5721709085 | $83.00 |
| 10-07 02:12 | San Diego Padres Team Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.8434277973 | $97.00 |
| 10-06 23:21 | Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.5499999988 | $90.00 |
| 10-06 20:48 | Spread: Troy (-3.5) | BUY | 0.7040158642 | $200.00 |
| 10-06 19:21 | Will Belarus win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.5199999982 | $57.00 |
| 10-06 17:16 | Will Jordan win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.6299999999 | $97.00 |
| 10-06 14:31 | Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | BUY | 0.5613701219 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 14:09 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | BUY | 0.5899999951 | $41.00 |
| 10-06 04:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $25.00 |
| 10-06 04:03 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7406993626 | $85.00 |