0xC66C90749D838712EdC6f38cABbEbb32A87eC272-1772795798108
0xc66c90749d838712edc6f38cabbebb32a87ec272
- Realised P&L
- $-197.89
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 544
- Open portfolio
- $20.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded544
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.22at 0.236Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$12.17at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$11.86at 0.334Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
- +$9.51at 0.096Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$6.93at 0.132Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 10:20 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? | BUY | 0.0169999999 | $1.35 |
| 09-30 10:20 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.41 |
| 09-16 13:02 | Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.09 |
| 09-15 09:44 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 08:32 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.79 | $3.75 |
| 09-10 15:56 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.44 | $3.52 |
| 09-04 14:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.47 |
| 09-04 07:58 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 08:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $0.41 |
| 09-03 08:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | SELL | 0.61 | $0.61 |
| 09-03 08:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $0.50 |
| 09-03 08:28 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 14:58 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.156002401 | $1.30 |
| 09-01 14:14 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 09-01 12:38 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.13 |