PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC66C90749D838712EdC6f38cABbEbb32A87eC272-1772795798108

0xc66c90749d838712edc6f38cabbebb32a87ec272

Realised P&L
$-197.89
Volume
$20.3k
Markets traded
544
Open portfolio
$20.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded544
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Chud the Builder convicted? · Yes0.2860.435$8.37+$2.87
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0700.035$3.02−$2.94
Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? · Yes0.1900.260$2.86+$0.77
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.4100.215$1.07−$0.97
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0960.046$0.81−$0.86
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.2000.099$0.74−$0.76
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.5200.115$0.57−$2.02
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31? · No0.0170.006$0.52−$0.83
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2200.110$0.50−$0.50
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? · Yes0.4500.220$0.49−$0.51
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5200.220$0.42−$0.58
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? · Yes0.3600.145$0.40−$0.60
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? · Yes0.1130.032$0.19−$0.48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1120.025$0.11−$0.41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.2700.001$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 10:20Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?BUY0.0169999999$1.35
09-30 10:20Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?SELL0.29$1.41
09-16 13:02Will Jane Poole-Wilson be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?BUY0.19$2.09
09-15 09:44Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1399999989$5.00
09-14 08:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.79$3.75
09-10 15:56Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.44$3.52
09-04 14:02Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.52$2.47
09-04 07:58Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
09-03 08:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETSELL0.41$0.41
09-03 08:37Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETSELL0.61$0.61
09-03 08:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSELL0.25$0.50
09-03 08:28Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
09-01 14:58Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?SELL0.156002401$1.30
09-01 14:14Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999376$3.00
09-01 12:38Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?SELL0.31$6.13