0xC6526d8633a8AcD948E2684E0D75740e52403878-1775897630659
0xc6526d8633a8acd948e2684e0d75740e52403878
- Realised P&L
- $-358.08
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $893.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration61.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.175 | $546.88 | +$46.88 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.301 | 0.295 | $97.94 | −$2.06 |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.537 | 0.505 | $94.08 | −$5.92 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the United States? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.054 | $80.67 | −$24.32 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.715 | $73.60 | +$3.60 |
| Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.33 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · No | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 30, 2026? · No | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.85 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 17:37 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999857 | $2.85 |
| 10-23 21:43 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the United States? | BUY | 0.0856436507 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 19:48 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6799999965 | $70.00 |
| 10-22 20:01 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.536779322 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 20:00 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3011951611 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 19:50 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the United States? | BUY | 0.0703299721 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 19:45 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.609999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-21 19:35 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $500.00 |
| 04-12 16:55 | Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0112268197 | $51.33 |
| 04-12 16:00 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.1799999987 | $100.00 |