freegpt
0xc649f8096b62cf785272e82edbfff73cbbf49d1a
- Realised P&L
- $-166.90
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 577
- Open portfolio
- $103.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded577
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.61at 0.695Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 15?
- +$9.89at 0.009Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 17?
- +$9.79at 0.246Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 28?
- +$9.18at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 27?
- +$9.17at 0.295Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 10:52 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 10-18 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.88 |
| 10-17 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.76 |
| 10-16 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 10-16 03:42 | Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 10-16 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.88 |
| 10-15 03:21 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.866 | $86.60 |
| 10-15 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.66 |
| 10-14 08:53 | Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 10-14 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.94 |
| 10-12 00:08 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-11 09:40 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.342 | $3.42 |
| 10-11 09:40 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.182 | $1.79 |
| 10-11 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |