PolyBot

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Traders

Gobag244

0xc62a64a2a54561390aec65082e7ba661bd6b099a

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$81.6k
Markets traded
178
Open portfolio
$766.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded178
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2880.542$489.05+$229.06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1920.225$117.37+$17.37
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.1040.109$105.05+$5.05
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes0.3590.170$28.40$31.60
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8500.945$16.68+$1.68
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2440.162$9.93$5.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Up0.4030.000$0.00$7.06
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5410.000$0.00$35.00
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims) · Alexander Hernandez0.5000.000$0.00$68.39
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$15.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5190.000$0.00$95.00
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Deiveson Figueiredo0.2460.000$0.00$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00$38.41
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00$125.00
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card) · Sam Patterson0.3230.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 02:09Ohio State vs. TexasBUY0.052173913$10.00
09-13 02:09Ohio State vs. TexasBUY0.05$15.00
09-12 15:04Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1917004972$100.00
09-12 15:01Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.3599999971$10.00
09-12 15:00Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.3589232292$50.00
09-07 03:32Louisville vs. Ole MissBUY0.74199999$15.00
08-30 00:34Monmouth vs. Tennessee TechBUY0.21$5.31
08-29 03:43Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.103757531$100.00
08-07 05:36Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2699999937$30.00
07-25 23:27Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2299999933$25.00
07-25 23:27Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2299999933$25.00
07-19 19:23Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.382$68.21
07-19 18:38Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5BUY0.4199999933$20.00
07-19 18:37Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5BUY0.6949999919$25.00
07-19 18:36Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5874999912$20.00