0xc5f042db7d668412d4d2bf546c8b9e94b4395b97
- Realised P&L
- $-22.38
- Volume
- $461.86
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $10.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.10at 0.189Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$0.40at 0.360Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.27at 0.118Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$0.05at 0.140Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.04at 0.151Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-29 03:44 | Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL | 0.16 | $4.80 |
| 03-04 23:16 | Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.159 | $0.80 |
| 03-04 23:15 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison? | SELL | 0.442 | $0.82 |
| 03-04 23:15 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 03-04 23:14 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.253 | $2.53 |
| 03-04 23:13 | Will Catherine Fleming Bruce be the Democratic nominee for Senate in North Carolina? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.26 |
| 03-04 13:52 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 03-04 13:50 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison? | BUY | 0.478 | $2.39 |
| 03-04 07:55 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.253 | $1.27 |
| 03-04 04:49 | Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.151 | $0.76 |
| 03-04 03:46 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.109 | $0.55 |
| 03-04 03:28 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 03-04 02:16 | GTA VI released before June 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $0.11 |
| 03-04 01:55 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 03-04 01:53 | 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31? | SELL | 0.169 | $2.54 |