PolyBot

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Traders

nivek21

0xc5d88dff9a85b3fd766e7b20b3683786e56f0e95

Realised P&L
$-2.62
Volume
$254.63
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$53.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? · No0.1700.775$12.95+$10.11
Will Aurora FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes0.1901.000$12.41+$10.05
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026? · Yes0.9100.935$5.00+$0.13
Charlotte vs. Temple · Temple0.9300.925$2.92−$0.02
W35 Redding, CA: Kailey Evans vs Lea Ma · Lea Ma0.5100.505$2.84−$0.03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7900.765$2.83−$0.09
Titans vs. Colts · Titans0.2600.255$2.82−$0.06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? · Yes0.5000.490$2.78−$0.06
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? · No0.7100.715$2.08+$0.01
Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.8640.892$2.01+$0.06
Holy Cross vs. Harvard · Holy Cross0.1800.170$1.80−$0.11
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9100.905$1.06−$0.01
Austin Peay vs. West Georgia · West Georgia0.1100.100$0.95−$0.09
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $160-$165 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · Yes0.4290.046$0.52−$4.29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 14? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$2.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 22:58Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.909999983$1.07
10-14 22:56US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?BUY0.5$2.84
10-14 22:53W100 Edmond, OK: Martina Okalova vs Alicia Herrero LinanaSELL0.2$1.79
10-14 22:49Austin Peay vs. West GeorgiaBUY0.1099999937$1.04
10-14 22:49Charlotte vs. TempleBUY0.9299999842$2.94
10-14 22:49Holy Cross vs. HarvardBUY0.1799999849$1.91
10-14 22:48Titans vs. ColtsBUY0.2599999783$2.88
10-14 22:47Will Aurora FC win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.1899999944$2.36
10-14 22:45W35 Redding, CA: Kailey Evans vs Lea MaBUY0.5099999982$2.87
10-14 22:41W100 Edmond, OK: Martina Okalova vs Alicia Herrero LinanaBUY0.2099999989$1.88
10-14 22:35Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Felipe Meligeni AlvesBUY0.2799999763$2.84
10-14 22:31Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.3899999513$1.04
10-14 22:29Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.0910714286$1.02
10-14 04:50Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?BUY0.9099999925$4.87
10-14 04:47Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $160-$165 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?BUY0.4289999699$4.81