nivek21
0xc5d88dff9a85b3fd766e7b20b3683786e56f0e95
- Realised P&L
- $-2.62
- Volume
- $254.63
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $53.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.48at 0.405Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 77°F or below on October 6?
- +$4.31at 0.537Puka Nacua: Anytime Touchdown
- +$3.67at 0.572Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- +$1.73at 0.740Bruins vs. Sharks
- +$1.32at 0.691Will France win on 2026-10-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 22:58 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.909999983 | $1.07 |
| 10-14 22:56 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.84 |
| 10-14 22:53 | W100 Edmond, OK: Martina Okalova vs Alicia Herrero Linana | SELL | 0.2 | $1.79 |
| 10-14 22:49 | Austin Peay vs. West Georgia | BUY | 0.1099999937 | $1.04 |
| 10-14 22:49 | Charlotte vs. Temple | BUY | 0.9299999842 | $2.94 |
| 10-14 22:49 | Holy Cross vs. Harvard | BUY | 0.1799999849 | $1.91 |
| 10-14 22:48 | Titans vs. Colts | BUY | 0.2599999783 | $2.88 |
| 10-14 22:47 | Will Aurora FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.1899999944 | $2.36 |
| 10-14 22:45 | W35 Redding, CA: Kailey Evans vs Lea Ma | BUY | 0.5099999982 | $2.87 |
| 10-14 22:41 | W100 Edmond, OK: Martina Okalova vs Alicia Herrero Linana | BUY | 0.2099999989 | $1.88 |
| 10-14 22:35 | Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Felipe Meligeni Alves | BUY | 0.2799999763 | $2.84 |
| 10-14 22:31 | Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.3899999513 | $1.04 |
| 10-14 22:29 | Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.0910714286 | $1.02 |
| 10-14 04:50 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999925 | $4.87 |
| 10-14 04:47 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $160-$165 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.4289999699 | $4.81 |