Winwin149
0xc5d55fb998bc72ecee4d5e4e5f0316624659337c
- Realised P&L
- $-80.67
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $65.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.57at 0.351Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$2.63at 0.210Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by July 15?
- +$0.75at 0.930Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
- +$0.32at 0.940Will Xi visit the US before September?
- +$0.30at 0.050Will Trump declare war on Iran before August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 13:40 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | BUY | 0.213248548 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 13:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.82 | $24.12 |
| 09-25 14:31 | Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 14:30 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 14:28 | Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 14:25 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.036 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 14:24 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 14:23 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 14:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 14:20 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 14:11 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | BUY | 0.023162513 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 14:01 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 09:06 | Citigroup launches a USD stablecoin in 2025? | BUY | 0.3399999855 | $15.00 |
| 06-30 07:10 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? | BUY | 0.16 | $7.00 |
| 06-28 02:29 | Will Trump declare war on Iran before August? | SELL | 0.053 | $5.30 |