MartinGG
0xc5cbb2f16ca031970baddb96c887b327d9d795ea
- Realised P&L
- $-14.82
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 161
- Open portfolio
- $11.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded161
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.16at 0.492Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$4.47at 0.472Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$3.56at 0.360Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$3.23at 0.757Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$2.55at 0.286Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:30 | Will Mexico win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 20:04 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.40 |
| 10-01 20:04 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.18 |
| 10-01 19:02 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 19:01 | Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 15:57 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 14:21 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5859998769 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 14:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 15:21 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 05:54 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.59 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 03:25 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 03:18 | Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.25 |
| 09-15 03:17 | Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.11 |
| 09-15 02:05 | Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.09 |
| 09-15 02:05 | Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.31 |