PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MartinGG

0xc5cbb2f16ca031970baddb96c887b327d9d795ea

Realised P&L
$-14.82
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
161
Open portfolio
$11.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded161
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.5100.475$2.79−$0.21
Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.4400.595$1.35+$0.35
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8100.905$1.12+$0.12
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.8700.910$1.05+$0.05
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5800.600$1.03+$0.03
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-10-12? · Yes0.6900.635$0.92−$0.08
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3100.285$0.92−$0.08
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5860.519$0.89−$0.11
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.3400.285$0.84−$0.16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4400.305$0.69−$0.31
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3800.125$0.33−$0.67
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5350.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4250.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 15:30Will Mexico win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-01 20:04Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.42$1.40
10-01 20:04Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$1.18
10-01 19:02Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-01 19:01Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-10-12?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-29 15:57Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
09-27 14:21Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.5859998769$1.00
09-27 14:162026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.3099999473$1.00
09-26 15:21Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.5$1.00
09-20 05:542026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.59$1.20
09-15 03:25Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5099999949$3.00
09-15 03:18Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?SELL0.999$1.25
09-15 03:17Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?SELL0.998$2.11
09-15 02:05Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?SELL0.999$1.09
09-15 02:05Will Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?SELL0.999$1.31