Rybkaoi
0xc5a3b3c986058c3f2ba7f4332bbfcced9b10883a
- Realised P&L
- $11.9k
- Volume
- $406.9k
- Markets traded
- 260
- Open portfolio
- $9.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded260
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.751Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
- +$1.9kat 0.322Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.321Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
- +$1.6kat 0.869Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$1.4kat 0.206Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 00:42 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5031193946 | $88.00 |
| 10-01 00:40 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.57 |
| 10-01 00:40 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $178.25 |
| 09-30 14:37 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9769435118 | $296.78 |
| 09-30 12:30 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0945493333 | $15.96 |
| 09-29 15:39 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | SELL | 0.9673122034 | $760.39 |
| 09-29 15:33 | Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30? | SELL | 0.977 | $15.71 |
| 09-29 15:22 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | SELL | 0.995 | $113.06 |
| 09-29 15:19 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7778071401 | $2.0k |
| 09-29 15:12 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.741 | $18.00 |
| 09-29 15:12 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7425802453 | $19.00 |
| 09-29 15:06 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.7461298353 | $462.15 |
| 09-29 14:40 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7194652917 | $1000.00 |
| 09-29 14:30 | Will Russia enter Moskovka by September 30? | SELL | 0.9808846203 | $383.75 |
| 09-29 14:03 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | SELL | 0.9773428753 | $400.14 |