Rybkaoi
0xc5a3b3c986058c3f2ba7f4332bbfcced9b10883a
- Realised P&L
- $9.5k
- Volume
- $333.9k
- Markets traded
- 229
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded229
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.751Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
- +$1.9kat 0.322Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.321Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
- +$1.6kat 0.869Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$1.4kat 0.206Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 12:24 | Will Russia enter Moskovka by August 31? | BUY | 0.7699999813 | $23.00 |
| 08-06 12:24 | Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30? | BUY | 0.5807941921 | $66.00 |
| 08-06 12:24 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | BUY | 0.8349900594 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:23 | Will Russia capture Svitle by August 31? | BUY | 0.8099999997 | $323.00 |
| 08-06 12:22 | Will Russia capture Toretske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6057596806 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 12:21 | Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? | BUY | 0.5299999988 | $61.00 |
| 08-06 12:17 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $27.00 |
| 08-06 12:15 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5311146255 | $200.00 |
| 08-06 12:13 | Will Russia capture Shevchenko by August 31? | BUY | 0.7803941254 | $200.00 |
| 08-05 21:53 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7711898107 | $323.00 |
| 08-04 12:20 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? | BUY | 0.7632523584 | $300.00 |
| 08-01 22:46 | Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? | BUY | 0.8599999959 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 22:45 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8143076353 | $230.00 |
| 08-01 22:44 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999998 | $300.00 |
| 08-01 22:42 | Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.6482760381 | $323.00 |