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Traders

Rybkaoi

0xc5a3b3c986058c3f2ba7f4332bbfcced9b10883a

Realised P&L
$11.9k
Volume
$406.9k
Markets traded
260
Open portfolio
$9.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded260
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7510.994$5.7k+$1.4k
Will Russia enter Moskovka by October 31? · No0.4750.920$994.56+$480.72
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? · No0.4920.400$635.76−$147.08
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? · No0.2710.280$369.13+$11.94
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · No0.4120.410$352.63−$1.82
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31? · Yes0.4170.430$281.30+$8.31
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3220.995$263.91+$178.51
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · Yes0.4660.340$136.12−$50.59
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? · No0.6300.855$134.24+$35.33
Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? · No0.5030.720$125.93+$37.93
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.640$25.85+$5.66
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$161.50
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 28, 2026? · No0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Russia enter Stinky by August 31? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 30, 2026? · No0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 00:42Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5031193946$88.00
10-01 00:40Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?SELL0.999$17.57
10-01 00:40Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?SELL0.999$178.25
09-30 14:37Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9769435118$296.78
09-30 12:30Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0945493333$15.96
09-29 15:39Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?SELL0.9673122034$760.39
09-29 15:33Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30?SELL0.977$15.71
09-29 15:22Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by September 30?SELL0.995$113.06
09-29 15:19Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7778071401$2.0k
09-29 15:12Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.741$18.00
09-29 15:12Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7425802453$19.00
09-29 15:06Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?SELL0.7461298353$462.15
09-29 14:40Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7194652917$1000.00
09-29 14:30Will Russia enter Moskovka by September 30?SELL0.9808846203$383.75
09-29 14:03Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?SELL0.9773428753$400.14
Trader Rybkaoi · PolyBot Pro