0xC59F322EA77A8F9700b555F016414C4Ccc8a59Ab-1747688890263
0xc59f322ea77a8f9700b555f016414c4ccc8a59ab
- Realised P&L
- $58.44
- Volume
- $111.7k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $903.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$287.32at 0.510Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
- +$197.94at 0.944Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$191.45at 0.343Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$178.56at 0.557Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?
- +$166.31at 0.177Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 11:36 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0659999999 | $2.57 |
| 09-26 09:06 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.063 | $68.72 |
| 09-23 11:11 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.9321247412 | $121.58 |
| 09-18 09:58 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0479999996 | $3.97 |
| 07-27 09:40 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.219999993 | $18.35 |
| 07-27 09:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $3.00 |
| 07-27 09:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 09:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 09:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 11:35 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0679999991 | $69.91 |
| 07-18 11:34 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.050318489 | $109.96 |
| 07-18 11:30 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5919999721 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 12:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 10:52 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.7719944124 | $218.30 |
| 07-04 12:24 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0419999804 | $2.00 |