Tigertom28
0xc5869f7b20f8993fdc18583463d75c7af97680b3
- Realised P&L
- $8.43
- Volume
- $141.30
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $37.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.195 | $20.95 | +$1.71 |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.925 | $16.44 | +$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.12at 0.620Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 15:30 | Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | BUY | 0.8999999888 | $16.00 |
| 07-27 19:39 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1790692796 | $19.24 |
| 07-03 20:28 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.6099999838 | $9.81 |