PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Tropicalrambler

0xc57eeba00bf4fafa2eb5d95602d074ef2d29f19a

Realised P&L
$-13.24
Volume
$168.80
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$34.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · Yes0.3601.000$13.89+$8.89
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.5101.000$7.84+$3.84
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2700.209$7.76$2.24
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election? · Yes0.9601.000$5.21+$0.21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.2000.033$0.16$0.84
Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%? · Yes0.7500.004$0.06$9.94
Will Russia join the Board of Peace? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump say "Golden Age of America" during WEF Address on January 21? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-21 13:23Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.5099999541$4.00
01-21 13:19Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?BUY0.0789999325$1.00
01-21 13:15Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.4099998237$1.00
01-21 13:12Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.359999977$5.00
01-21 13:11Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?BUY0.96$5.00
01-21 13:07Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
01-21 13:06Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?BUY0.0546084082$1.00
01-21 12:58Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?BUY0.75$10.00
01-21 12:52Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.2$1.00
01-21 12:52Will Trump say "Golden Age of America" during WEF Address on January 21?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
01-21 12:50Will Russia join the Board of Peace?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
10-17 00:49US forces in Venezuela by December 31?BUY0.25$1.00
11-20 03:10Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?BUY0.9489997775$4.00
11-18 19:41Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?BUY0.1$1.00
11-18 19:37Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?BUY0.5699999059$2.00