0xC57B5b8B21585b4E871de9981436C93c40aD8281-1754993278151
0xc57b5b8b21585b4e871de9981436c93c40ad8281
- Realised P&L
- $-357.43
- Volume
- $76.3k
- Markets traded
- 201
- Open portfolio
- $187.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded201
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.971 | $59.90 | +$10.52 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.555 | $55.61 | +$39.67 |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.658 | $51.27 | −$8.73 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.009 | $15.51 | −$50.25 |
| Will BNB dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.155 | $4.65 | −$2.55 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.137 | $0.68 | −$3.97 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5? · No | 0.835 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.10 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.47 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.82 |
| SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$162.37 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $8.00 on June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.80at 0.763Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
- +$54.00at 0.460Will Powell say "Tariff" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?
- +$49.00at 0.910Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
- +$47.10at 0.738Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
- +$34.88at 0.180Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 16:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.039 | $1.96 |
| 08-30 14:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $80.00 |
| 06-10 19:32 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? | BUY | 0.32 | $93.73 |
| 06-10 19:25 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.1567553333 | $4.70 |
| 06-10 19:20 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 06-10 19:17 | SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day | SELL | 0.52 | $26.00 |
| 06-10 19:16 | SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day | SELL | 0.6157142857 | $21.55 |
| 06-10 19:14 | SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day | SELL | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 06-09 20:47 | SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day | SELL | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 06-09 20:02 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.161 | $3.86 |
| 06-09 20:01 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day? | SELL | 0.45 | $6.75 |
| 06-09 19:43 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.1597592191 | $7.36 |
| 06-09 19:41 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? | BUY | 0.33 | $5.34 |
| 06-09 19:41 | SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day | SELL | 0.44 | $13.20 |
| 06-09 19:28 | Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0369692308 | $24.03 |