PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

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Traders

alwaysOn

0xc550e5ee1011afb6d37c7fbb18fea32e03f9272d

Realised P&L
$26.8k
Volume
$2.84M
Markets traded
941
Open portfolio
$150.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded941
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7880.835$14.0k+$788.62
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.8770.905$11.7k+$358.13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9300.935$11.2k+$59.64
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9500.945$11.1k$58.69
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9080.925$9.9k+$179.20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8210.915$8.3k+$851.77
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9210.935$8.1k+$123.81
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8240.865$7.4k+$352.61
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9610.980$6.7k+$125.60
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6010.605$6.1k+$43.49
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8310.859$6.0k+$195.38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8850.845$5.8k$271.74
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.8310.885$5.3k+$319.54
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · No0.8530.885$5.0k+$177.75
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.9390.935$4.2k$19.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 21:32Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.95$9.4k
08-03 21:32US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.955$276.17
08-03 21:32Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.91$88.74
08-03 21:32Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.975$1.5k
08-03 19:32Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.96$1.52
08-03 19:32Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?SELL0.82$0.77
08-03 19:31Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.95$0.62
08-03 19:31Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?SELL0.922$0.32
08-03 19:31Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?SELL0.69$0.43
08-03 19:31Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?SELL0.77$0.27
08-03 06:52Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?BUY0.967$660.63
08-02 21:37Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.81$577.58
08-02 21:36Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.93$8.4k
08-02 21:36Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.95$1.8k
08-02 21:36Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.978$220.05