alwaysOn
0xc550e5ee1011afb6d37c7fbb18fea32e03f9272d
- Realised P&L
- $26.8k
- Volume
- $2.84M
- Markets traded
- 941
- Open portfolio
- $150.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded941
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.3kat 0.051Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$4.3kat 0.602Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
- +$3.7kat 0.707Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?
- +$2.8kat 0.313Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$2.7kat 0.548US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 21:32 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.4k |
| 08-03 21:32 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $276.17 |
| 08-03 21:32 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.91 | $88.74 |
| 08-03 21:32 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $1.5k |
| 08-03 19:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $1.52 |
| 08-03 19:32 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.77 |
| 08-03 19:31 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $0.62 |
| 08-03 19:31 | Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? | SELL | 0.922 | $0.32 |
| 08-03 19:31 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.43 |
| 08-03 19:31 | Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $0.27 |
| 08-03 06:52 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $660.63 |
| 08-02 21:37 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $577.58 |
| 08-02 21:36 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $8.4k |
| 08-02 21:36 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.8k |
| 08-02 21:36 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.978 | $220.05 |