0xc54e80200288a261a4882eb21b713d2b167b2faf
0xc54e80200288a261a4882eb21b713d2b167b2faf
- Realised P&L
- $19.14
- Volume
- $215.53
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $9.49
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.690 | 0.835 | $1.92 | +$0.33 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September? · No | 0.770 | 0.935 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.230 | 0.260 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September? · No | 0.766 | 0.862 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.410 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.760 | 0.760 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.550 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.325 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.09at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$3.65at 0.309Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.79at 0.369Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.71at 0.370US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$2.67at 0.379Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 13:54 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September? | BUY | 0.7659998376 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:45 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:44 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:06 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:23 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 21:32 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:14 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:05 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:54 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:18 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 18:07 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 24? | BUY | 0.7249999819 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:06 | Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:06 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.5199998823 | $1.59 |
| 09-23 17:47 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.59 |
| 09-23 08:13 | Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3699999395 | $1.59 |