PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC54727ccc40c332c8408e2951aB2949C9DA97404-1773609738274

0xc54727ccc40c332c8408e2951ab2949c9da97404

Realised P&L
$13.96
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$25.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.5720.935$9.38+$3.64
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4000.445$5.56+$0.56
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5990.457$3.81$1.19
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A? · Yes0.4950.240$3.50$3.72
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3580.305$3.02$0.52
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.2400.041$0.41$1.99
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00$2.36
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026? · No0.5950.000$0.00$5.95
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$3.10
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? · No0.7440.000$0.00$3.72
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 10:34Anthropic IPO before 2027?SELL0.84$7.37
07-01 23:22Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$2.00
06-27 13:49GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?SELL0.982$19.64
06-19 17:21Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.118$2.36
06-19 17:20Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.017$0.35
06-11 23:04GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.16$3.20
06-10 13:01Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.05$1.00
06-09 19:46GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?BUY0.31$3.10
04-29 00:48Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?BUY0.595$5.95
04-26 13:58Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2$1.56
04-24 01:44Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?BUY0.35$2.54
04-22 18:33Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.28$2.80
04-22 18:28Will Neymar play in the World Cup?SELL0.58$2.15
04-22 18:17Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.64$4.74
04-22 18:16Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.24$2.40