0xC537d9d2BC34ce9EFd100f41661334DB21A888A2-1774433773048
0xc537d9d2bc34ce9efd100f41661334db21a888a2
- Realised P&L
- $-78.15
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 202
- Open portfolio
- $18.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded202
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.01at 0.189Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
- +$3.60at 0.280Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
- +$3.29at 0.360Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.52at 0.580Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
- +$2.29at 0.428Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 13:04 | Will Buffalo Bills finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most offensive touchdowns? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 09-13 11:18 | Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 09-13 10:46 | Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-13 10:45 | Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-13 09:26 | Will Buffalo Bills finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most offensive touchdowns? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-13 06:28 | Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-11 23:00 | Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 09-11 21:58 | Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $3.74 |
| 09-11 20:46 | Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.77 |
| 09-10 03:03 | Will Buffalo Bills finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most offensive touchdowns? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.03 |
| 09-10 02:58 | Will Buffalo Bills finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most offensive touchdowns? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.09 |
| 09-10 00:29 | Will Buffalo Bills finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most offensive touchdowns? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.85 |
| 09-10 00:24 | Will Buffalo Bills finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most offensive touchdowns? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.03 |
| 09-09 19:48 | Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-09 19:14 | Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |