PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc51F11775D717630AdeFac35eDf85DD7c974be41-1774275159502

0xc51f11775d717630adefac35edf85dd7c974be41

Realised P&L
$152.49
Volume
$23.0k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.1660.275$884.48+$349.49
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0570.051$470.07−$61.30
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0190.021$44.21+$4.21
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$20.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1060.000$0.00−$100.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · No0.0640.000$0.00−$359.99
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$120.00
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$2.90
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 20:39Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2198673099$100.00
10-31 12:45Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.019$40.00
10-18 18:56Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 70% by November 2?BUY0.3499999997$50.00
10-18 16:23Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.1299999999$30.00
10-01 10:26Will Greece win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.2699999978$30.00
09-25 19:01Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.054$30.00
09-25 04:46Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.1$20.00
09-24 08:32Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.1$20.00
09-23 15:37Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.1199999999$50.00
09-23 04:57Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.1399999997$50.00
09-20 05:44Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.047$53.50
09-19 07:26Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.1899999998$49.50
09-19 07:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.89$51.62
09-18 06:17Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.1699999996$45.00
09-17 19:37Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.1799999999$50.00