0xc51F11775D717630AdeFac35eDf85DD7c974be41-1774275159502
0xc51f11775d717630adefac35edf85dd7c974be41
- Realised P&L
- $152.49
- Volume
- $23.0k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No | 0.166 | 0.275 | $884.48 | +$349.49 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.051 | $470.07 | −$61.30 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.021 | $44.21 | +$4.21 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · No | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$359.99 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.90 |
| Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$394.27at 0.200Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$241.95at 0.150US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
- +$209.02at 0.198Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?
- +$91.56at 0.359Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 70% by November 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:39 | Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2198673099 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 12:45 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.019 | $40.00 |
| 10-18 18:56 | Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 70% by November 2? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-18 16:23 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $30.00 |
| 10-01 10:26 | Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.2699999978 | $30.00 |
| 09-25 19:01 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.054 | $30.00 |
| 09-25 04:46 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 08:32 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 15:37 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 04:57 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-20 05:44 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.047 | $53.50 |
| 09-19 07:26 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $49.50 |
| 09-19 07:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $51.62 |
| 09-18 06:17 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999996 | $45.00 |
| 09-17 19:37 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $50.00 |