0xc506c90e4f29fe58057f1f71b1c669ea578b40e4
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $9.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Besiktas (-11.5) · Besiktas | 0.580 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$4.20 |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.80 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.91 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.361 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.49at 0.442Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26?
- +$4.95at 0.290Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)
- +$3.72at 0.162Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.50at 0.500Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 16:48 | Spread: Besiktas (-11.5) | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 10-30 01:04 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 10-30 00:25 | Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) | SELL | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 10-29 19:22 | Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 10-27 00:34 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.24 |
| 05-14 01:57 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0769999653 | $1.91 |
| 01-31 08:53 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.283 | $8.72 |
| 01-06 20:24 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1621819142 | $5.00 |