godpls
0xc4fbfd8c2bf090568f8eb207123364a3f0352bfd
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $620.5k
- Markets traded
- 350
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded350
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.747 | 0.855 | $1.4k | +$171.70 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.845 | $845.00 | +$5.00 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.862 | 0.832 | $814.87 | −$29.59 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.981 | $490.25 | −$0.25 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.895 | $447.50 | +$2.50 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.792 | 0.523 | $261.50 | −$134.50 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.861 | 0.699 | $244.85 | −$56.72 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.615 | $14.64 | +$2.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.001Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$378.40at 0.009Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21?
- +$340.70at 0.823North Texas vs. Texas State
- +$245.01at 0.959Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$227.42at 0.999US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 10:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $928.98 |
| 09-24 19:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | SELL | 0.934 | $9.34 |
| 09-21 09:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9529999994 | $1.5k |
| 07-23 07:32 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.2k |
| 07-18 06:16 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $162.06 |
| 07-14 22:51 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $183.30 |
| 07-06 19:35 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 08:46 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.8k |
| 06-18 08:46 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $941.42 |
| 06-17 07:06 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $299.70 |
| 06-17 07:06 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.0k |
| 06-16 09:00 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.7721603215 | $371.77 |
| 06-16 08:20 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.973 | $3.2k |
| 06-07 23:30 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $614.82 |
| 06-04 00:42 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.974 | $708.47 |