PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

godpls

0xc4fbfd8c2bf090568f8eb207123364a3f0352bfd

Realised P&L
$2.6k
Volume
$620.5k
Markets traded
350
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded350
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration62.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7470.855$1.4k+$171.70
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? · No0.8400.845$845.00+$5.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8620.832$814.87−$29.59
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9810.981$490.25−$0.25
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8900.895$447.50+$2.50
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7920.523$261.50−$134.50
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8610.699$244.85−$56.72
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5300.615$14.64+$2.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 10:46Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?BUY0.998$928.98
09-24 19:50Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?SELL0.934$9.34
09-21 09:49Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?BUY0.9529999994$1.5k
07-23 07:32Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.996$1.2k
07-18 06:16Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.73$162.06
07-14 22:51Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.994$183.30
07-06 19:35Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6599999842$10.00
06-18 08:46Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.997$5.8k
06-18 08:46Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.997$941.42
06-17 07:06US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.999$299.70
06-17 07:06US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.999$5.0k
06-16 09:00US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?SELL0.7721603215$371.77
06-16 08:20US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.973$3.2k
06-07 23:30Iran closes its airspace by June 30?BUY0.997$614.82
06-04 00:42Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.974$708.47