rxdaneel
0xc4edea5f99cb2a61c6fb996c2173d172b94b6001
- Realised P&L
- $-263.91
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,301
- Open portfolio
- $0.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,301
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.135 | $0.36 | −$0.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
- +$8.97at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$5.00at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 5?
- +$5.00at 0.500US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
- +$5.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 19:36 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | SELL | 0.957 | $9.57 |
| 09-21 08:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 08:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $5.17 |
| 09-21 08:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $6.22 |
| 09-18 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 15:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 14:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.699999916 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 18:48 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.27 |
| 09-16 20:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $6.98 |
| 09-16 20:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999238 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 20:01 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 09-16 20:01 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 09-15 20:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $7.38 |
| 09-15 20:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |