PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

melanie58

0xc4e6a76c2ea2f2a77316edc6adce9fe22c4f3cfd

Realised P&L
$-58.89
Volume
$12.3k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$68.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award? · Yes0.7000.715$28.61+$0.60
Will PPI YoY be 5.9% or more in September? · No0.6900.640$15.11−$1.18
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.8900.945$14.32+$0.83
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No0.7300.695$10.56−$0.53
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$14.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:17Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?BUY0.9979999479$11.33
01-31 14:00Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?BUY0.9819999998$23.75
01-30 17:13Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?BUY0.999$20.20
01-30 14:42Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January?BUY0.995$21.89
01-30 12:31Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in January?BUY0.999$33.21
12-30 10:37Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?BUY0.999$9.84
12-29 20:38Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?BUY0.999$14.22
12-29 20:38Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.999$32.02
12-29 19:10Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.9869999998$62.19
10-31 16:13Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?BUY0.999$20.20
10-31 15:10Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?BUY0.998$22.15
10-30 18:51Will XRP reach $3.30 in October?BUY0.998$36.21
09-29 12:45Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?BUY0.999$11.01
09-29 01:01Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.9769999988$12.60
09-29 00:40Will XRP reach $5.00 in September?BUY0.999$17.63