ChristopherKirk1630
0xc4e3d5eebe570a7e45e6d98b55bf9afb18a65907
- Realised P&L
- $-725.04
- Volume
- $79.1k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $776.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$217.14at 0.110Will Tundra Esports win ESL One Birmingham 2026?
- +$205.74at 0.520Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
- +$133.00at 0.150Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?
- +$117.60at 0.300Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
- +$116.59at 0.694Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 09:46 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.45 | $12.60 |
| 04-11 08:18 | Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April? | SELL | 0.77 | $32.34 |
| 04-09 13:13 | Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | SELL | 0.21 | $61.95 |
| 04-09 13:12 | Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | SELL | 0.21 | $130.20 |
| 04-09 09:41 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $32.80 |
| 04-09 09:39 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $143.20 |
| 04-09 09:37 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $144.00 |
| 04-09 09:36 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 04-08 18:12 | Will Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April? | BUY | 0.83 | $34.86 |
| 04-08 01:29 | Will Trump say "Macron" or "France" during events with Rutte? | BUY | 0.31 | $64.17 |
| 04-08 00:43 | Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | BUY | 0.36 | $329.40 |
| 04-07 18:59 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $462.42 |
| 03-30 16:20 | Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 300k and 400k? | SELL | 0.93 | $618.45 |
| 03-29 21:27 | Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 300k and 400k? | BUY | 0.85 | $565.25 |
| 03-25 18:19 | Will Iran strike Khurais Field by March 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $81.70 |